Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has compiled 5.8 assists per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Terry Rozier will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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