Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+280/-400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +280.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has totaled 5.9 assists per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game this year.
The Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier stands to experience a decrease in production across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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