Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has compiled 6.0 assists per game on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA in this category.
Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.8 minutes per game this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should boost opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

The most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.

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