Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has posted an impressive 6.0 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.1 assists per game last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 31.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
Terry Rozier is expected to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
The Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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