Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has tallied 6.2 assists per game on the road this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
Terry Rozier has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Terry Rozier stands to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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