Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has put up an impressive 6.3 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 5.1 assists per game last season.
Terry Rozier has averaged 31.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Terry Rozier will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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