Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has posted an impressive 6.3 assists per game this season, quite a bit more than his 5.1 assists per game last season.
Terry Rozier has tallied 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays today from facing the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
When playing at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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