Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has tallied an impressive 6.4 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 5.1 assists per game last season.
Terry Rozier has averaged 32.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier stands to see a spike in performance across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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