Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has compiled 6.8 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's hottest by this standard recently: 98th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 35.7 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 7thbest in in the league as the away team with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 19 games.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Hornets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.
Terry Rozier will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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