Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has tallied 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
Terry Rozier has played 33.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which should decrease plays for the Hornets.

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