Terance Mann Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Terance Mann

NBA · Player Props

Terance Mann

G-F · LA Clippers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 7:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Terance Mann Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terance Mann has successfully made 51.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 14.5% more than he's made in all games this season while playing away from home.
The matchup against Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8).
The 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Clippers.
The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Clippers rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home in regard to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).
Terance Mann will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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