Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 30.9% on 3-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a tough matchup.
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 19 games has been the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Talen Horton-Tucker has converted an impressive 100.0% of his free throws this season, quite a bit higher than his 65.4 rate last season.
Talen Horton-Tucker will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Talen Horton-Tucker measures in the 18th percentile for 3-point ability when playing at home with a a bad 24.2% rate this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's poor 44.7% field goal percentage when playing at home measures as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
The Utah Jazz will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).
While playing at home, the Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted a massive 25.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league).