Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Talen Horton-Tucker

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a tough one for field goals; when the Suns are playing at home, opposing clubs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (45.0%).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 65.4% clip, Talen Horton-Tucker's foul-shot efficiency has jumped this season to 100.0%.
Talen Horton-Tucker will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 20.4% clip, Talen Horton-Tucker's 3-point effectiveness has fallen this season to 23.3%.
The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Over the last 6 games when they are at home, the other team has brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).
This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a colossal 28.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

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