Talen Horton-Tucker Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

NBA · Player Props

Talen Horton-Tucker

G · Utah Jazz

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Talen Horton-Tucker Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Talen Horton-Tucker has attempted 15.8 shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Talen Horton-Tucker has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 10.6 higher than he's played in all games this year on the road.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Spurs is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.8).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been poor at getting to the free throw line away from their home court: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 21.6 foul shots per game.
The matchup against the Spurs is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).
Talen Horton-Tucker will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces player production across the board.