Steven Adams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Steven Adams

NBA · Player Props

Steven Adams

C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Steven Adams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Steven Adams has made 79.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 18.9% more than he's converted in all games this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Lakers.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a massive 21.9 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Steven Adams has successfully made just 35.2% of his free throws this season, significantly lower than his 56.2 mark last season.
Steven Adams has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).
The Lakers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Steven Adams will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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