Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2026

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 28, 2026

Updated Jan 29, 2026 4:48 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the league as the away team with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. Houston may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of threes, the Spurs's subpar 32.7% rate of made threes comes in as the 3rd-fewest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on three-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a hard matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Houston Rockets).

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