Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2026

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 17, 2026

Updated Jan 18, 2026 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 threes per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a favorable matchup.
The 10th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 9thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 10.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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