Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 7, 2026 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should raise opportunities for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In terms of 3-pointers, the San Antonio Spurs's feeble 28.5% rate of sunk threes ranks weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have logged 9.9 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, creating a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.

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