Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has logged 20.4 points per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 6.4 higher than he's logged in all games this season on the road.
Stephon Castle has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Spurs rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (38.4%).
Stephon Castle will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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