Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-127/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has attempted 16.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one; when the Nuggets are at home, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).
The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 3rd-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
In regard to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 111.2 points per game as the road team places 8th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Stephon Castle will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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