Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 30, 2025

Updated Mar 31, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has attempted 15.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephon Castle has attempted 7.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.
Stephon Castle is expected to get a boost in performance in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has made 26.1% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Stephon Castle has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 21.6% on 3-pointers (weakest in the league) against the Warriors, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

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