Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has registered 20.1 points per game over the last 15 games, 5.9 more than he's registered in all games this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Stephon Castle has attempted 6.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Stephon Castle will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has sunk 26.3% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Stephon Castle has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 38.1% on shot attempts from the field (4th-worst in the league) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a hard matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the slowest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
As a team, the San Antonio Spurs have been bad at getting to the charity stripe in recent days: 8th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games with a mere 21.0 free throws per game.

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