Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has averaged 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 8.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The 6th-most up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should boost possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Stephon Castle has attempted 7.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.8 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on threes (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a challenging matchup.
As a team, the Spurs have been bad at getting to the charity stripe as the visting team: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 20.0 free throws per game.
Stephon Castle should suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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