Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Orlando Magic vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 8, 2025

Updated Feb 9, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has logged 19.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's logged in all games this year.
Stephon Castle has sunk 46.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 17.8% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while playing away from home.
The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Stephon Castle has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Spurs's lackluster 34.9% rate of successful threes rates 9th-worst in the league this year.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Orlando Magic).
Stephon Castle is expected to see a decline in production in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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