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Stephon Castle

Stephon Castle Points
Player Prop - 2/1/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Stephon Castle has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Stephon Castle has attempted 5.8 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).

The 6th-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's feeble 45.2% field goal percentage when playing at home measures as the 7th-fewest in the league over the last 15 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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