Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 1:00 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has attempted 13.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Stephon Castle has sunk 42.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 18.1% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
The 7th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Stephon Castle has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have tallied 11.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Clippers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce plays for the Spurs.

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