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Stephon Castle

Stephon Castle Points
Player Prop - 1/19/2025

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Stephon Castle has attempted 13.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
  • The Spurs check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Stephon Castle has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (9th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Stephon Castle places in the 21st percentile for 3-point prowess on the road with a weak 23.7% rate this year.
  • The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.
  • The Spurs are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year (the Heat).
  • Stephon Castle figures to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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