Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:19 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.
The Spurs are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the speediest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 5th-best in in the NBA at home with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Memphis may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a challenging one for scoring; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the least baskets per game in the NBA this year (4.3).

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