Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Spurs.
The Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Stephon Castle ranks in the 80th percentile for drawing fouls, averaging a whopping 3.1 foul shots per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has converted 38.7% of his shot attempts from the field when playing at home this year, placing him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Stephon Castle comes in at the 18th percentile for 3-point prowess playing at home with a bad 21.0% rate this year.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the least field goals per game in the NBA this year (4.3).

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