Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has successfully made 36.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Stephon Castle measures in the 22nd percentile for three-point prowess on the road with an unimpressive 23.6% rate this year.
With respect to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 107.4 points per game while playing away from home ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for field goals; when the Lakers are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (37.1%).
The Spurs are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

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