Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most baskets per game in the league this year (6.2).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has successfully made 36.5% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league.
Stephon Castle has sunk 25.2% of his three-point shots on the road this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
When it comes to offense, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 107.5 points per game away from home settles in as the 7th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Stephon Castle will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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