Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Spurs have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Stephon Castle has converted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephon Castle slots into the 24th percentile for 3-point performance at home with a subpar 25.3% rate this year.
With respect to field goal attempts, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while at home this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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