Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 1:15 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Kings is a good one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1).
The Kings have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should raise opportunities for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Stephon Castle has made 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Stephon Castle comes in at the 23rd percentile for three-point performance with the home court advantage with a subpar 25.1% rate this year.
In regard to shots from the field, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year has been the Spurs.

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