Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have logged 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.
The Spurs will likely see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 4.7 free throws per game this year (most in the league).
Stephon Castle will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephon Castle rates in the 14th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while at home with a subpar 15.2% rate this year.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephon Castle has successfully made 61.7% of his foul shot attempts playing at home this year, putting him in the 20th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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