Stephon Castle Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2024

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 7, 2024

Updated Nov 7, 2024 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a favorable one for scoring; opposing starting SGs have put up the highest Field Goal% in the league this year (51.5%).
The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).
Stephon Castle will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Stephon Castle lands in the 12th percentile for field goal efficiency while playing at home with a poor 28.3% rate since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Stephon Castle registers in the 16th percentile for 3-point effectiveness playing at home with a poor 11.1% rate since the start of last season.
The Spurs rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.

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