Stephon Castle Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+113/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Stephon Castle is expected to see a rise in performance across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has sunk 26.3% of his 3-point attempts while playing at home this year, ranking in the 25th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Spurs have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.

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