Stephon Castle Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 15, 2025

Updated Mar 16, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has posted 4.2 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games playing at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Spurs.
The Spurs check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephon Castle is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

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