Stephon Castle Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has totaled 4.4 assists per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Stephon Castle will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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