Stephon Castle Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+128/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has compiled 4.3 assists per game at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Stephon Castle stands to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 10th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Spurs check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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