Stephon Castle Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has posted 4.5 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league's hottest by this standard in recent games: 87th percentile.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 9th-best in in the NBA while at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Stephon Castle will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Stephon Castle has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

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