Stephon Castle Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat · Feb 1, 2025

Updated Feb 2, 2025 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has tallied 4.5 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this standard recently: 87th percentile.
The 6th-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Stephon Castle stands to get a boost in production across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

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