Stephon Castle Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has averaged 4.7 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent games: 89th percentile.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Stephon Castle will likely see a rise in efficiency for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

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