Stephon Castle Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has compiled 3.7 assists per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the hottest players in the league in this category over this stretch of games.

Favors Under

The 6th-slowest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephon Castle will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this game.

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