Stephon Castle Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Stephon Castle

NBA · Player Props

Stephon Castle

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Stephon Castle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephon Castle has compiled 4.7 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 87th percentile.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Stephon Castle will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

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