Stephen Curry Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game this year.
The Spurs have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have brought down 7.7 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added chances for offense).
Stephen Curry will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has put up a lowly 4.0 defensive rebounds per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 5.2 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Stephen Curry has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.2 fouls per game last year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

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