Stephen Curry Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has tallied 32.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry ought to see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has posted just 3.7 defensive boards per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 5.2 defensive boards per game last year.
Compared to last season's 2.2 rate, Stephen Curry's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.8.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

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