Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2026

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 11, 2026

Updated Jan 12, 2026 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (5th-most in the league) against the Hawks, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Hawks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the league when playing at home with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 21.7 foul shots per game.
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

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