Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 25, 2025

Updated Dec 25, 2025 9:49 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Warriors have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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