Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Dec 22, 2025

Updated Dec 23, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-112/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 24.5 mark, Stephen Curry's points per game have surged this season to 28.8.
The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 8th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Warriors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Magic, designating this as a hard matchup.
The 7th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Warriors.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Magic, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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