Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2025

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 20, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has notched an impressive 28.8 points per game this year, significantly more than his 24.5 points per game last year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 112.4 points per game settles in as the 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have scored 12.2 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league playing at home this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Golden State Warriors.
The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Suns are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

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